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Original article by Jamie McIntyre published in 21st Century News.
There is a saying in trading: Dont go against the trend DeAndre Jordan Authentic Jersey , the trend is your friend. This means that the trend politically around the country and even more so in New England was a huge move away from Labor and Independents and towards the Coalition as clearly evidenced by the election results .
Tony Windsor won last time as an Independent with 61 per cent of the vote.
For his candidate Rob Taber in the 2013 elections, this has dropped massively to only 14.4 per cent (Windsor put up Taber to be his proxy as he lost the courage to contest this years elections and face the wrath of voters he betrayed in 2010. Obviously he was also afraid of being soundly beaten by Barnaby Joyce).
Unfortunately even though the trend was moving towards the right and the centre right of politics and as a centre right and broad based party, 21st Century Australia was right in the line of capturing some of this trend, with the ability to attract voters of all ages and both sides of politics.
However, as many are aware, we were forced to run as Independents. This was due to the AECs deliberate bungling of our party registration by delaying it till after the election, despite the fact that we submitted our application well ahead of time and had hundreds of more members than required.
As a result the party was not able to run and it effectively meant that our campaign ended when a September 7 election was announced 5 weeks ago.
As devastating as this was Chris Paul Authentic Jersey , I was taught not to be a quitter. Moreover, we had already amassed large number of supporters Australia wide and in New England. We couldnt abandon our supporters, thus we committed to continue even though we were aware that it was almost impossible to win.
So, we decided that I should run as an Independent, fully aware that the brand had been made toxic, thanks to Tony Windsor and Rob Oakshott. As evidenced by polls, many of the Nationals voters planning on voting for me before the election was called was at around 20% and had now moved back in droves to Barnaby Joyce of the Nationals who was polling at 40% before the election was called .
This was expected but not to the degree it occurred as we underestimated just how detested Tony Windsor had become and how many voters swore they would never vote for an Independent ever again for the rest of their lives C.J. Wilcox Authentic Jersey , thanks to Windsor.
Also, New England is a conservative electorate and after Windsor took their vote in 2010 and against the large majoritys wishes put Labor in office, ( only 8% voted Labor in 2010), there was no way New England voters were going to risk voting for another Independent such as myself, even though they were inspired by our policies, passion and vision for the country. They were supportive of many 21st Century Policies and inspired by many of my speeches made during the campaign for a better Australia.
On Election Day I was approached by hundreds of Nationals volunteers and supporters at various polling booths wanting to meet me, wish me well and encourage me to run in the future by saying how inspired they were by my Partys efforts and what we stood for.
The support and respect we garnered was enormous and very encouraging.
The problem was that Nationals supporters were not going to follow through with the idea of voting for an Independent again and nor were they going to risk Rudd getting re-elected. Consequently Blake Griffin Authentic Jersey , the shift back to Nationals was about 13 per cent greater than expected; up from our estimates of 40 per cent to 53 per cent resulting in our vote going down by 13 per cent compared to our expectations of 20 per cent to 7 per cent or just under 6000 votes compared to the votes we would have received had we been able to run as a party.
The other factors affecting the results were Palmer Party that collected 5 per cent of the vote in New England despite almost no campaigning besides a lot of TV ads.
Moreover, we also failed to preference. I am not a big fan of preferencing on ‘how to vote cards, but now I see why major parties do it.
If you only put 1 in the box and leave the others up to the voter to complete, many dont and this risks making their vote invalid especially when there were 9 candidates.
Several scrutineers said we lost a lot of votes because we didnt preference as many voted 1 for McIntyre but didnt complete the rest of the card thus costing us votes again.
However, the main reason we suffered was because we couldnt benefit from the trend towards the centre and right where 21st Century Australia would benefit , we were forced to run as Independents and in New England, Independent means Labor and Greens Austin Rivers Authentic Jersey , which is opposite to the direction the trend was heading, thus voters were moving in the opposite direction as well.
It is the complete opposite to the majority of polices and ideologies I support. To turn around the damage Windsor did to the Independent brand in New England was never going to happen in five weeks, let alone five years, nor did we want to as the brand we are building for the long-term is 21st Century Australia, not Independents. As a result, it was a very difficult marketing exercise that most political experts say is impossible.
The result on Election Day was frustratingly disappointing, but in the scheme of things Wesley Johnson Jersey , it was minor compared to the successes we had achieved and when forced into the position we finally were in, it left us with little choice besides doing what we could to garner as many votes as we did.
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